Climate and Water Resource Case Study

Definitions
Overview of Climate Change
Greenhouse Effect and Climate Change
What is the world doing about climate change?
Investigating Regional and Local Projected Climate Change
Consequences of Projected Climate Change
Conclusions
Chapter 7 title
Chapter 8 title

Chapter 2 - A2. Climate System Forcings: Earth Orbital Parameters

Introduction

There is a wealth of data on past climates. For example, you have seen already that deep sea sediments and ice cores provide proxies for long-term temperature records. By examining these proxies, the composition and chemical changes in atmospheric gases as well as temperatures of the planet can be determined during last the several hundred thousands of years. Cores of sediments and sedimentary rocks contain fossils that also provide insights to past climate. Analyses of tree rings provide records of precipitation, temperature, and soil moisture for the last several thousand years. It is from all these records along with our current understanding of atmospheric and oceanic science that we obtain our climate projections of the future. This section discusses the major factors that influence global climate change and global climate variability.

Orbital Parameters of the Earth

           The amount of radiation received from the sun and its distribution on the Earth’s surface varies with the relative position between the sun and the Earth. These natural variations in the Earth's orbit impact the planet’s climate and appear to set the conditions for the cooler and warmer periods of glacial and interglacial (non-glacial) stages. Figure 2 depicts the three parameters that describe the Earth’s orbit around the sun: (1) eccentricity, (2) axial tilt (or obliquity), and (3) time of perihelion (or precession). In 1920, Milutin Milankovitch proposed a theory that changes in climate cycles of glacial-interglacial periods were initiated by both the amount and the distribution of radiation received from the sun. Every 100,000 years or so, these orbital parameters vary in such a way to reduce the amount of sunlight energy received at midlatitudes in the northern hemisphere. This reduction in sunlight energy and is thought to lead to the onset of an ice age due to reduced warming of the Earth's surface.

Figure 2. Earth's orbital paramenters: (a) eccentricity, (b) tilt (c) time of perihelion, and (d) amount of solar radiation received in the Northern Hemisphere between 60 and 70 degrees as a function of these three parameters.

           The Milankovitch theory of climate change during the last 1.6 million years theorizes that the onset of ice ages is due to variations in three orbital parameters of Earth. In Figure 2, the eccentricity (a) is the degree to which Earth’s orbit departs from a circle. Times of maximum eccentricity are separated by roughly 100,000 years. The tilt angle (b) is the angle between Earth’s axis and a line perpendicular to the plane of the orbit of the planet. The time of perihelion (c) involves the tilt of Earth’s axis at its closest approach to the sun. The cycles of tilt and time of perihelion are roughly 40,000 and 20,000 years, respectively. The calculated amount of sunlight (d) received at 60o to 70o north latitude during the summer (summer insolation, July) is based on the cycles of variation of these three orbital parameters.

 

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